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    Wednesday, April 19, 2006

    Mumps Update: The mumps contagion continues unabated in the Midwest:

    The number of cases has more than doubled in the past week, with at least 1,100 reported in Iowa and seven other states, officials said. Investigators in another seven states also are studying possible cases.

    And as mentioned in this blog before, it's looking like it came from the land of MMR-phobia:

    The outbreak, which appears to have begun in late December, involves the same strain of the virus that has caused a massive mumps epidemic in Britain over several years. Officials suspect an infected person may have brought the virus from Britain to Iowa, but officials have not yet identified the first case.

    We do live in a global village these days. Hysteria in a land far across the sea has ripple effects around the world. But in this case, it's the shot not heard 'round the world.

    posted by Sydney on 4/19/2006 09:59:00 PM 5 comments


    Sure, the virions in question may have come from across the pond. And sure, they wouldn't have had a mumps outbreak had it not been for Andrew Wakefield and all the trouble he caused.

    But the majority of the young folks who got sick in the Midwest were vaccinated.

    That's a troubling feature of this story that must be pursued, IMO.



    By Blogger Flea, at 3:24 PM  

    Sorry flea, it's true, but it doesn't mean what you think it means. At 90% effective that means that 10% of the inoculated population will be less than completely protected. The number of people that get the shot is so much larger than the population that doesn't that even 10% of them that might get it means that there will appear to be more of them than the other.

    Thats a horrible run on sentence ;) But the numbers jive. The mmr shot IS effective, for the 90% that it would work for anyway. It's only the disparate size in the 2 groups that makes it seem like it's not effective.

    By Blogger NephSpouse, at 5:18 PM  

    ...unless this particular strain is dissimilar enough to the antigens used in the vaccine that fewer than 90% are protected.

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