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    Tuesday, September 04, 2007

    Predicting the Flu Future: How will this year's flu season be? We've been remarkably lucky for the past several years with very little activity and relatively mild strains. But if Australia and New Zealand's experience this summer is any indication, this winter we may be in for a bad flu season:

    Confirmed influenza cases reached 3,017 in the first seven months of the year, compared with 1,121 in 2006, according to the ministry's notifiable disease surveillance system.

    In July, 2,111 cases were confirmed by laboratory tests, the highest monthly tally in at least six years.

    "Sadly, some influenza infections have resulted in deaths this season, including in a small number of children,'' said John Horvath, Australia's chief medical officer, in an e-mailed statement today.


    The latest Australian flu data is available here. After peaking at the end of July and beginning of August, the number of cases has begun to decline. Our flu season in the northern hemisphere is often smilar to the southern hemisphere's, just six months later. Look for our season to peak at the end of January and beginning of February - and plan your flu shot accordingly - in late October or early November.

    P.S. There's a Flu Wiki!
     

    posted by Sydney on 9/04/2007 08:05:00 AM 3 comments

    3 Comments:

    yes, there is a flu wiki.

    And we've beben talking about Australia. ;-)

    By Anonymous DemFromCT, at 8:53 AM  

    Thanks for posting the flu wiki and flu stats!

    By Blogger Bloggeroo, at 1:16 PM  

    a 5yo boy was found dead by his mum one morning, from the flu, in a town half an hour up the road from me in Victoria, Australia. 5yo kids are the fittest healthiest people around and this boy was no exception. Get your flu shot.

    By Anonymous Anonymous, at 9:02 AM  

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